Dietrich Bonhoeffer, Stupidity, and Poker!

GTO Poker Theories – Bonhoeffer’s Theory of Stupidity

You want them at your table, but stupid players are a lot more unpredictable and should be approached with caution.

One of the real gifts poker has given me is that it has been a great jumping off point to learn things from other disciplines like economics, AI, psychology and Game Theory. So here is a series of articles where I bring some of the most interesting things I have learned from other subjects outside of poker which are applicable in this game we know and love.

Dietrich Bonhoeffer was a German theologian and pastor who is known for his contributions to theology and his resistance to the Nazi regime during World War II. Bonhoeffer developed a theory of stupidity that he referred to as “stupidity as sin.”

According to Dietrich Bonhoeffer, stupidity can be more dangerous than evil because it is harder to defend against. While it is possible to take action against evil individuals, those who are stupid may not be receptive to reasoning and may ignore any attempts to protest or fight against them. As a result, people who are caught up in their own narrow perspectives and refuse to consider alternative viewpoints can be particularly difficult to oppose.

Against stupidity we have no defense. Neither protests nor force can touch it. Reasoning is of no use. Facts that contradict personal prejudices can simply be disbelieved — indeed, the fool can counter by criticizing them, and if they are undeniable, they can just be pushed aside as trivial exceptions. So the fool, as distinct from the scoundrel, is completely self-satisfied. In fact, they can easily become dangerous, as it does not take much to make them aggressive. For that reason, greater caution is called for than with a malicious one. Never again will we try to persuade the stupid person with reasons, for it is senseless and dangerous. — Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Bonhoeffer argued that it was stupidity that led to the rise of Hitler. In modern times some of the extreme responses to COVID and climate change, or some of the more bizarre election results, could easily fall into this rubric. 

It’s hard to range a donkey

Obviously the examples above are all incredibly serious with potentially grave consequences. Not to trivialise those, there is an obvious poker parallel to be made, which is that stupid players are in some ways harder to play against. 

You can predict what a weak regular is going to do and usually put them on a reliable range of hands. In a 3-bet pot on a 2-7-K flop you don’t really have to worry about them having bottom two pair, for example. Against a complete donkey, however, nothing is out of the question. 

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